Textile Industry Development Under The Perspective Of "The Fourteenth Five Year Plan"
In recent two years, the economic and trade situation between China and the United States has been greatly concerned by the new epidemic situation and the continuous development of industrial security. The Central Committee of the Communist Party of China (CPC) recently issued the proposal on formulating the fourteenth five year plan for national economic and social development and the long-term goal for the year 2035, which proposes to coordinate development and safety, enhance the impact resistance of the industrial system, and put forward new directions and requirements for the high-quality development of the textile industry. The core of industrial safety is that the industrial chain and supply chain can be controlled independently, and keep stable and healthy development under the condition of high-level opening to the outside world. From this point of view, China's textile industry has a complete industrial system, there is no significant technical weaknesses in the whole industrial chain, the main raw materials and equipment are basically self-sufficient, the domestic market capacity is huge, the export market is rich and diversified, and the international development level is constantly improving, which has a good industrial foundation to resist external risks.
The industrial system is complete and the supply chain is basically autonomous and controllable
The textile industry is one of the five leading industries in the world in the safety assessment of the manufacturing industry chain carried out by the Chinese Academy of engineering. China's textile industry system is complete, with high-quality manufacturing capacity of the whole industrial chain from fiber raw material processing to consumer goods and industrial textiles. There are more than 200 high-quality industrial clusters in China, with complete characteristic categories, complete raw and auxiliary materials professional market, and flexible and diversified wholesale and retail, online and offline sales channels, which has formed a relatively complete domestic independent circulation pattern. In the field of products related to the national economy and people's livelihood, there is no obvious gap in technology and equipment in the textile industry chain. In 2019, China's per capita fiber consumption has exceeded 22 kg, basically reaching the level of medium developed countries; the fiber processing capacity of the whole industry can be equivalent to 40 kg per capita in China, which can meet the needs of China's national economic development, improvement of people's living standards and response to public emergencies Yes. Under the support of a complete industrial manufacturing industry system, China's chemical fiber and fabric self-sufficiency rate is more than 95%, and yarn self-sufficiency rate is more than 90%. Clothing and home textile products can fully meet the domestic consumption demand. A small number of imported products are only adjusted by varieties and brands. Industrial textiles are increasingly prominent in the fields of infrastructure, medical and health, national defense and security.
Technology and policy support, raw material risk decreased significantly
Due to the large scale of China's textile industry and the high demand for raw materials, the supply of raw materials used to be a short board of industrial safety. In recent years, with the development of technological innovation and the improvement of policy system, the supply risk of textile raw materials has decreased significantly.
In terms of chemical fiber raw materials, with the continuous breakthrough of domestic high-capacity complete sets of technologies, China's chemical fiber industry has achieved sustainable development, with the output reaching 59.528 million tons in 2019, accounting for about 70% of the world. It mainly meets the demand of domestic textile industry chain, with net export of more than 4 million tons, and a small amount of imports mainly meet the needs of special uses. With the relaxation of upstream synthetic fiber raw material investment access management and the breakthrough of domestic key technologies, the independent supply capacity of main synthetic fiber monomer categories has been greatly improved. The import dependence of terephthalic acid (PTA) and caprolactam (CPL) has decreased from more than 50% ten years ago to single digit; although the import dependence of p-xylene (PX) and ethylene glycol (MEG) is more than 50%, according to the production plan of refining and chemical integration project of China's chemical fiber backbone enterprises, domestic PX will be fully able to replace import in the next two years, and the domestic supply increment of MEG will exceed the demand increment. China's independent technology level of bio based fiber is in the forefront of the world, and the coal chemical industry chain technology is increasingly mature, which will provide the chemical fiber industry with diversified source technology route selection, and help alleviate the risk of high dependence on oil import in China.
In terms of natural fiber, cotton has the most prominent impact on the development of China's textile industry. Under the guidance and support of relevant national policies, in recent years, China's cotton planting and picking technology has made remarkable progress, and the enthusiasm of cotton farmers in Xinjiang has been better protected, and it has continued to maintain the status of the world's largest cotton producing country. Cotton import management system and reserve cotton rotation system have been greatly improved, playing a positive role in ensuring cotton supply. The variety, quality and performance of cotton type chemical fiber have been steadily improved, and the product development ability of cotton spinning enterprises has also been continuously improved. While enriching the market supply, the contradiction between domestic cotton supply and demand has been effectively alleviated. The consumption of non cotton fiber in China's cotton spinning enterprises has increased from less than 30% at the beginning of this century to about 65% in 2019. In addition, China's Yellow River and Yangtze River Basins still have cotton planting foundation and conditions, which can provide space for geographical layout adjustment to ensure cotton supply when external risks increase.
Adhere to the development of equipment manufacturing industry and realize high-level independent supply
China's textile industry has always adhered to the line of developing its own equipment manufacturing industry, and the good development momentum of the textile industry has also provided a fundamental driving force for the progress of the equipment manufacturing industry. At present, the manufacturing capacity and overall technical level of China's textile equipment industry are in the forefront of the world. The domestic market share of textile machinery has increased from less than 50% at the beginning of this century to more than 70% at present, which can basically meet the operation needs of domestic industrial chain. The textile industry has ended the history of net import of equipment. In 2019, the import volume was 3.34 billion US dollars, and the export volume reached 3.79 billion US dollars, ranking the second in the world after Germany. China's domestic high-capacity chemical fiber equipment, spinning equipment, knitting equipment, dyeing and finishing equipment and other fields can reach the international advanced level, and some of them can reach the international advanced level. With the advantages of close cooperation between domestic suppliers and downstream suppliers, it can provide more flexible solutions for domestic textile enterprises.
Based on the "double cycle" pattern, strengthen the foundation of security development
From the perspective of development trend, China's good economic and market environment can provide positive support for the textile industry to form a dual cycle development pattern, and effectively prevent and control industrial safety risks. On the one hand, the stable development of China's economy and society ensures that the domestic investment environment is superior. Although the manufacturing cost is high, the comprehensive advantages of labor quality, industrial foundation, advanced technology and policy environment provide a solid foundation for preventing the risk of industrial hollowing out. More importantly, China has the largest and most active consumer market in the world, which provides sufficient development space for the textile industry. In recent years, the export scale of the textile industry has been basically stable at about 280 billion US dollars. Under the background of restructuring the global industrial pattern, the growth space is limited. However, in the context of an all-round well-off society, the super large-scale domestic demand market with 1.4 billion people and 400 million middle class will provide the textile industry with multi-faceted, diversified, multi-level and multi angle demand power. On the other hand, with the improvement of the strength of the industry and enterprises, the establishment of an international resource allocation system is an inevitable development trend of the textile industry. With the continuous improvement of the industrial internationalization level, the core resources mastered by the dominant enterprises are gradually increasing, and a small number of shortcomings in domestic industrial development will be effectively compensated. The international production capacity layout of the belt and road initiative is advancing in an orderly manner, and the transnational vertical industrial chain system is gradually taking shape. The international industrial chain and supply chain under the leadership of domestic backbone enterprises will also be more secure, controllable, flexible and efficient.
From the perspective of controllable risk, China's textile industry has a good foundation for development in a period of time. During the "14th five year plan" period, it is the important task for the safe development of the textile industry to establish a more high-quality, efficient, independent and controllable industrial chain and supply chain system based on the domestic big cycle and the "double cycle" pattern. On the one hand, the textile industry should maintain the advanced, high-quality and green manufacturing foundation, strengthen the long board of independent technology and equipment, and highlight the core competitive advantage; on the other hand, it should maintain the continuous attention to the industrial security issues, strengthen the independent breakthrough of a small number of short board technology, solve the problems of technology monopoly in developed countries and dependence on import of related technical equipment in China, and improve standards, brands and fashion And other areas of soft power to strengthen the right to speak.
Self cultivation and self-reliance, stable and far-reaching, to provide strong support for national economic security and social stability and security!
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