Shenzhen Property Market Stabilizes Guangzhou To Pick Up

In recent years, the magic of Shenzhen's property market has been staggering, and the fever has not risen.

Compared to the Guangzhou property market is not warm, after May 1, the Shenzhen property market experienced a big shuffle, the strong speculation atmosphere gradually subsided.

On the other side, the market of Guangzhou Shenzhen property market is very hot and uneven, and the regional differentiation is obvious. At the same time, the buyers are more rational, and the real transaction is still based on reasonable price.

Under the tone of housing speculation, the trend of the future property market will be more stable.

Guidance price, real estate tax and other means of regulation or on the road, short and long term combined boxing, the market speculation will be difficult to refire, and the future property market will fluctuate within a reasonable range.

Shenzhen fever is decreasing, Guangzhou is gradually warming up.

Just past the May 1 small holiday, the Shenzhen property market did not usher in a big outbreak.

According to Shenzhen Zhongyuan Real estate data, 51 new Shenzhen housing market 328 sets of transactions, the transaction area of 29 thousand and 900 square meters, a decrease of 46% over the same period.

During the period of 4.27-5.3, there were 44 units in the City Plaza (phase three), compared with 0 of the selected projects and 0 of the transactions.

During the May 1 period, 507 second-hand housing transactions in Shenzhen were completed, with a total turnover of 43 thousand square meters, representing a year-on-year decline of more than 33%.

A real estate agent told reporters that during the May 1 period, he was "busy looking at it."

According to the Central Plains real estate data, in April, 3319 new residential units in Shenzhen were sold, with an increase of 5.3% over the previous month, and the number of transactions rose for two consecutive months. The area was 315 thousand flat, with a decrease of 2.8% and a decrease in heat.

Second hand housing, previously, Shenzhen Baoan, Nanshan, Guangming and other areas of second-hand housing prices have risen sharply.

But in April 20th, after the Shenzhen government promulgated relevant policies and strictly controlled, the reporter then inquired about the listings of some districts with high listing prices.

At present, the second-hand housing prices in Nanshan District are basically priced at 199 thousand / square meters. There is no single price exceeding 200 thousand yuan. The housing market of Guangming is only one set, with a unit price of 60 thousand yuan / square meter.

In the past March and April, the magic Shenzhen property market has experienced tea drinking fees, business loans and other disturbances. With the government's continuous efforts, the real estate market seems to be gradually slowing down.

By contrast, the Guangzhou property market is much more peaceful and is still slowly returning to Wen Zhong.

According to the data of the Central Plains research and Development Department of Guangzhou, during the May 1 period, a total of 20 units were opened or pushed up in Guangzhou, a total of 2004 sets, and the volume of push plates decreased by 7 compared with 51 last year, and the total volume of goods being pushed down by 35% compared with previous years.

Meanwhile, the supply of new housing during the May 1 period is mainly concentrated in the eastern and southern parts of the country. Among them, Zengcheng is still the main force, with the number of 251 sets of net signing ranks first, while the holiday opening (plus volume) highest Nansha net sign total of 72 sets, ranking second.

New sources of supply weakened, but the turnover was gradually warming. Guangzhou Zhongyuan Real Estate Research Institute data show that since April, the net volume of the first hand housing in Guangzhou has reached 6566 units, rising by 50% compared to the previous month, with a total turnover area of 729 thousand and 900 yuan, an increase of 53% in the annulus.

Secondary housing market, Guangzhou Central Plains data show that in April, the volume of second-hand market volume was 3594 sets, a rise of 36.65%, the average price of the transaction, compared with last month fell 1.27%.

It is easy to see the real estate projects in Guangzhou. Many of the properties are still at a discount and "one price" promotion mode. The turnover data is "up and down", and the impact of the epidemic is slowly recovering.

Cold and heat will continue.

In Shenzhen, a series of policy combinations have been brewing. In April 28th, Zhang Xuefan, director of the housing and Construction Bureau of Shenzhen, said that Shenzhen had prepared many measures for the rise in housing prices.

"For example, in the transaction link, we should take the means of less leverage, high interest rate and high tax to differentiate high priced housing from ordinary housing. In the holding link, we can also consider the issue of real estate tax."

Song Ding, director of the tourism and real estate research center of Shenzhen Comprehensive Development Research Institute, seems that the hot and cold property market in Shenzhen has been there since last year. Shenzhen's local hot spots, such as the former Houhai and the Bazhong area, all have hype motives, superimposed on worries about inflation, external capital entry and business loan stimulation, resulting in the local property market in Shenzhen is hot.

Song Ding said, "housing prices in Shenzhen will remain stuck in the second half of the year, and there will be no sudden surge and no downlink." The phenomenon of hot and cold housing market will continue.

And Shenzhen's magic rising second-hand housing market will also cool down.

Song Ding said: "the unregulated listing price disrupts the market, and the policy will suppress the second-hand listing price, and the joint transaction price will be suppressed or even callback."

On the other hand, unlike the hot speculation in the Shenzhen property market, the Guangzhou property market is still steadily returning to Wen Zhong.

Guangzhou Central Plains research and Development Department said that many developers had adopted the mode of pushing goods and changing prices to compensate for losses in the first quarter. At the same time, the sale of "price to volume" sales strategy has achieved good results, and sales are all high.

It can be seen that in the current post epidemic era, the Guangzhou market still has strong purchasing power, and customers will accelerate the market as long as they meet the right price.

At the same time, the preferential measures of Guangzhou property market will continue. Huang Tao, general manager of Guangzhou Zhongyuan Real Estate Project Department, said that in order to make up for the impact of the previous epidemic, developers will continue to take certain preferential policies in the next three months to promote sales, and the price of Guangzhou's new houses will stabilize after sales are stable.

Besides, the main tone of housing speculation will not change. Li Yujia, principal investigator of Guangdong housing policy research center, said the idea of investing in real estate must be cautious. He said that despite the great impact of the epidemic, the state did not take the past stimulus measures to loosen the property market or large-scale water release, but to provide the supply side with the power to tap effective demand. Therefore, it is prudent to expect the new round of stimulus to invest in real estate.

From the overall perspective, under the environment of housing speculation and soft regulation, property buyers have turned to wait and see. Developers will also be cautious in pushing the market, but the fundamentals of supply will not change. The demand for real estate will only be postponed to the market and will not disappear.

Shenzhen will still lead the recovery process of the whole country, and Guangzhou's growth in the first tier cities is rather weak. Zhang Dawei, chief analyst at Zhongyuan Real estate, said that the most obvious market recovery in the first tier cities is Shenzhen, and Guangzhou is weak in the north. Shenzhen is expected to be stable because of its regional regulatory policy.

In the second half of the year, the Shenzhen Shenzhen property market will fluctuate in a controllable and rational scope.