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How To Grasp A Good Time To Sell?

2011/1/4 15:27:00 65

Stock Market

In the second half of this year, the market rose for more than 3 months.

index

From 2513 to 3186, it rose 673 points.

Gain

It is 26.8%.

However, in this wave of rising prices, there are still shareholders who say they haven't made any money.

And yesterday's big

Fall

When a big line comes down, many stock investors are crying out for trouble. Instead of making money, they lose money.

Then, what is the problem? In December 18th, my blog, "how can we make money?"


First, choose the right time to enter: "no rabbit, no hawk, no weight, no follow up".


Second, choose a good stock: "in line with the policy direction, growth potential."


Third, seize the selling point: "shipping signal: high, volume, and shade".


Well, now the problem may be in the above three aspects, such as: no stock selection, no low purchase, no high selling, or one aspect of it. Some investors, friends, stocks have chosen well, and they have bought low positions, but they are not aware of selling at high positions.

The old saying goes: students who buy are teachers who sell.

So, you can't really earn money if you don't grasp the opportunity to sell.

It is easy for many investors to make mistakes, and it is necessary to talk about this problem.


Then, how should we grasp the selling opportunity?


First, learn value analysis: when stock price is higher than value, sell should be considered.


Economics tells us that prices fluctuate around value.

Although the stock market is a virtual economic market, although the stock has many uncertainties, but whether the stock index or stock price fluctuations will follow the law of economics.

That is to say, when the stock price deviates from its high value, the stock price will return to its value area and the stock price will fall because of the pull back effect of the value. Otherwise, when the stock price deviates from its low value, the stock price will return to its value area and the stock price will rise as a result of the pull back of the value.

Therefore, it is very important to learn the value analysis.

In order to make value analysis, we must conduct in-depth analysis and research from the fundamentals of stock market, including the profitability of listed companies, the ability to taste debts, the operating conditions, market share, product prospects, and so on.

It is by no means hearsay, clap your head, listen to news, and buy stocks arbitrarily.

This requires effort, homework and value analysis.

Only when the stock price is higher than the value, can we consider selling. Otherwise, when the stock price is lower than the value, we may consider buying it.


Second, learn the cost analysis: when the stock price is far away from the main cost, it should consider selling.


Why do we need to carry out cost analysis? What is cost analysis? In my book "how to make big money?" - the book "practical skills in stock market", I once wrote: "we know that whether we invest in the stock market or speculate in the stock market, we can say that all people entering the stock market have only one aim, that is, making money.

No one entered the stock market to lose money.

Because the Chinese stock market has no short selling mechanism at present, buying stocks, if the share price falls, generally will not sell the stock, because at this time, the selling price is lower than the purchase cost, it will happen the actual loss money; conversely, if the stock price is raised, the stock price will rise, and it will usually sell the stock, because at this time, the selling price is higher than the cost price of the purchase, and it will gain the actual profit after selling.

So knowing and analyzing the cost price of a stockholder, we can know whether the stockholders will sell the stock.

That is why the cost analysis is carried out.


As for what is cost analysis, my understanding is that using various methods to understand and judge the average purchase price (or cost price) of a stockholder is the cost analysis.

The average cost price of a stockholder can also be called the market average cost price.

Because the main control chips are relatively large, the average cost price of the market is understood and analyzed, and the cost of the main force is understood and analyzed, so that the main stock will be sold.

Therefore, cost analysis is an analytical method to help us determine whether the main force will ship or not, so it is also very important in the market.

(see "how to make big money?" - the fourth chapter of "practical skills in stock market", "how to stare at the market?" 150th pages, second sections, "cost analysis"), of course, investors can refer to the relevant sections of the book for cost analysis.

Generally speaking, the main force needs to pull up to complete the shipment after the completion of the withdrawal, and there is a cost to absorb and pull up. Therefore, it is necessary to pull up about 30% of the cost area to distribute.

Therefore, when the share price is far away from its cost area, it should consider selling.


Third, learn the analysis of the handicap: observe the selling of the main outlets.


To truly learn to sell stock, we must also learn to carry out the analysis of the stock, because the main trend, or the master's technique, is the ship or the absorption, the earthquake or the distribution. It can not only be identified from the analysis methods of price analysis or cost analysis, but more important, it can be judged directly by the analysis of the pan mouth.

From this we can see that the importance of the analysis of dish mouth is staring at the plate.

An investor who is not good at analyzing the stock market will not be a successful investor. Similarly, a trader who is not good at analyzing the inventory will not be a good trader.

It can be seen that the analysis of dish mouth is very important no matter to amateur speculators or speculators.


So what is the analysis of the disk? The so-called "handicap" refers to the stock price in the paction process, the paction price, the paction price and quantity, the number of buying and selling, as well as the volume ratio between the buying and selling disk, and so on, which are reflected in some windows of the paction computer, commonly known as the plate mouth.

The analysis of disk opening is to analyze and predict the future trend of stock prices by observing these relevant data and their changes.

From this we can see that the analysis of the opening is based on the analysis of the stock price, the paction price and the quantity and the correlation data between them.

Because the analysis of contents is lengthy and limited in length, this is not enough. If investors are interested, they can directly browse the contents of 198 page fifth section analysis of "how to make big money?" - how to watch the market in the fourth chapter of how to make big money?

Or pay close attention to how to make big money? -- the serial operation of stock market practical skills can also be concerned about the playtime of this podcast's video teaching program (teacher Gong Weili's free stock school's teaching course).

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Fourthly, learn the price analysis: find that when the main force is distributed, do not consider it, you should sell it decisively.


When the main force is distributed, the general stock price is at a high level. When the main force is distributed, the share price will fall or even break, and it will have its inherent characteristics: "high position, heavy volume and overcast" (see "how to make big money?" - the fourth chapter of "practical skills in stock market"): how do we stare at the big market? "Price analysis" 137th pages "high, heavy volume, shade" section.

At this time, regardless of 37, twenty-one, without considering, we should resolutely and decisively sell.

My blog in December 18th, "how can we make money?" once said, "the three liquor stocks are now" high, heavy and negative, "and should be away from the market in the near future.

Well, just a day later, let's see what's going on. Let's make a comparison between the three liquor trends on Friday (December 17th) and Monday (December 20th).


  


  


Shanxi Fenjiu (600809) July 20, 2010 - December 20th chart


  


  


(Guizhou Moutai (600519) July 20, 2010 - December 17th chart)


  


  


(the Yanghe River shares (002304) July 20, 2010 - December 17th chart)


  


  


(the Yanghe River shares (002304) July 20, 2010 - December 20th chart)


From the comparison between the three stocks above, we can see that when there is "high position, volume and shade", we should resolutely and resolutely sell.

If the day before December 17th is not sold, the next day (December 20th) will continue to fall, and will continue to suffer losses.

Because "high, heavy volume, shade", this is the signal of main shipments.

When the share price has reached a high level, far from the main cost area, there is a heavy volume stagflation, or a drop in volume, that is to say, the volume is overcast or even the volume is broken down. This indicates that the main funds are leaving the market. At this point, they should not hesitate to sell stocks, gain profits and stop losses.


To sum up, to seize the opportunity to sell and lock in profits is a very important link in making money in the stock market.

It is very important not to learn to sell, not to sell or to sell.

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